90NinetyIQ
2026 race · real-data preview

The Ballon d’Or race, explained.

No black box. No unexplained verdict. The Ballon d’Or Index turns every candidate into a transparent 100-point case you can inspect, compare, and challenge.

Current merit leader

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint Germain · Forward

81.8
Individual47.8 / 55
Decisive18.6 / 25
Team15.4 / 20
Vote forecastHeld
Why this score?

Real-data provisional ranking

Every displayed component is computed from current API-Football fixture, event, player-stat, standings, and pre-match Elo evidence. The ranking remains provisional—not illustrative—until the locked 2024–2025 historical holdout gate is complete.

As of 2026-07-26

Individual performance

55 pts

Position-specific output, creation, all-round contribution, execution, availability, and consistency from real match data.

Decisive moments

25 pts

Performance against strong pre-match Elo opponents, in knockout rounds, and in verified score-changing situations.

Team achievements

20 pts

Verified finishes allocated by competition prestige, route, participation, and within-team importance.

The index

Every point has a reason.

Select a candidate to inspect all nine merit components and the separate jury-context forecast. The three color bands always map to the published 55 / 25 / 20 football methodology.

01
81.8

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint Germain · Georgia · Forward

Individual47.8 / 55
Decisive18.6 / 25
Team15.4 / 20

Held

no context

02
81.7

Lamine Yamal

Barcelona · Spain · Midfielder

Individual44.9 / 55
Decisive18.7 / 25
Team18.1 / 20

Held

no context

03
80.8

Pedri

Barcelona · Spain · Midfielder

Individual48.1 / 55
Decisive18.1 / 25
Team14.6 / 20

Held

no context

04
78.4

Lionel Messi

Inter Miami · Argentina · Forward

Individual49.5 / 55
Decisive18.9 / 25
Team10.0 / 20

Held

no context

05
77.8

Désiré Doué

Paris Saint Germain · France · Forward

Individual45.3 / 55
Decisive18.1 / 25
Team14.4 / 20

Held

no context

06
77.8

Michael Olise

Bayern München · France · Midfielder

Individual46.2 / 55
Decisive19.2 / 25
Team12.4 / 20

Held

no context

07
76.7

Dani Olmo

Barcelona · Spain · Midfielder

Individual42.0 / 55
Decisive17.8 / 25
Team16.9 / 20

Held

no context

08
74.9

Willian Pacho

Paris Saint Germain · Ecuador · Defender

Individual40.0 / 55
Decisive17.9 / 25
Team17.0 / 20

Held

no context

09
74.5

Vitinha

Paris Saint Germain · Portugal · Midfielder

Individual40.6 / 55
Decisive17.3 / 25
Team16.6 / 20

Held

no context

10
74.2

Harry Kane

Bayern München · England · Forward

Individual45.2 / 55
Decisive17.8 / 25
Team11.2 / 20

Held

no context

11
73.7

Declan Rice

Arsenal · England · Midfielder

Individual42.0 / 55
Decisive17.5 / 25
Team14.2 / 20

Held

no context

12
73.5

João Neves

Paris Saint Germain · Portugal · Midfielder

Individual39.2 / 55
Decisive18.4 / 25
Team15.9 / 20

Held

no context

13
72.7

Ousmane Dembélé

Paris Saint Germain · France · Forward

Individual42.1 / 55
Decisive17.2 / 25
Team13.4 / 20

Held

no context

14
72.5

Nuno Mendes

Paris Saint Germain · Portugal · Defender

Individual37.4 / 55
Decisive18.8 / 25
Team16.3 / 20

Held

no context

15
72.3

Emiliano Martínez

Aston Villa · Argentina · Goalkeeper

Individual42.3 / 55
Decisive17.8 / 25
Team12.2 / 20

Held

no context

16
72.1

Cristian Romero

Tottenham · Argentina · Defender

Individual43.1 / 55
Decisive18.9 / 25
Team10.1 / 20

Held

no context

17
71.8

Joshua Kimmich

Bayern München · Germany · Midfielder

Individual42.5 / 55
Decisive18.2 / 25
Team11.1 / 20

Held

no context

18
71.5

Luis Díaz

Bayern München · Colombia · Midfielder

Individual42.4 / 55
Decisive18.2 / 25
Team10.9 / 20

Held

no context

19
70.8

Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid · England · Midfielder

Individual45.9 / 55
Decisive17.7 / 25
Team7.2 / 20

Held

no context

20
69.5

Jules Koundé

Barcelona · France · Defender

Individual41.0 / 55
Decisive18.1 / 25
Team10.4 / 20

Held

no context

21
69.5

Pau Cubarsí

Barcelona · Spain · Defender

Individual33.3 / 55
Decisive17.0 / 25
Team19.2 / 20

Held

no context

22
69.4

Warren Zaïre-Emery

Paris Saint Germain · France · Midfielder

Individual37.5 / 55
Decisive16.6 / 25
Team15.3 / 20

Held

no context

23
69.3

Dayot Upamecano

Bayern München · France · Defender

Individual39.4 / 55
Decisive18.6 / 25
Team11.3 / 20

Held

no context

24
69.2

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid · France · Forward

Individual43.9 / 55
Decisive17.8 / 25
Team7.5 / 20

Held

no context

25
68.9

Rodri

Manchester City · Spain · Midfielder

Individual34.8 / 55
Decisive17.5 / 25
Team16.6 / 20

Held

no context

26
68.5

Bradley Barcola

Paris Saint Germain · France · Forward

Individual39.8 / 55
Decisive16.5 / 25
Team12.2 / 20

Held

no context

27
68.5

Bukayo Saka

Arsenal · England · Forward

Individual42.2 / 55
Decisive16.1 / 25
Team10.2 / 20

Held

no context

28
67.9

Fabián Ruiz

Paris Saint Germain · Spain · Midfielder

Individual34.5 / 55
Decisive16.8 / 25
Team16.6 / 20

Held

no context

29
67.5

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli

Real Betis · Morocco · Midfielder

Individual38.7 / 55
Decisive17.4 / 25
Team11.4 / 20

Held

no context

30
67.5

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal · Brazil · Defender

Individual36.5 / 55
Decisive18.0 / 25
Team13.0 / 20

Held

no context

Head to head

Compare the cases, not just the totals.

See where one candidate creates separation—and where the other has the stronger Ballon d’Or argument.

Retrodictions

Reopen football’s biggest debates.

See the validation gate